Sisi's mistake is worth a thousand
21:29 · 19 October 2026
5 min read
It was only a few days after we wrote our article, “Egypt as an Alternative to Türkiye,” that our prophecy was fulfilled. In which Saudi Arabia chose to lean towards Egypt’s side in confronting Islamic movements “in their various forms” instead of maneuvering in its space.
It seems that the Egyptian President; Who has maintained throughout the previous years not to take a public, militarily confrontational position; He seeks to spare his country from the infiltration of chaos, especially from Islamic parties with which he is not friendly. He was not successful this time, when he was driven by the idea of anticipating the coming of danger. By defending the borders of the neighbourhood.
This rush, which seeks to protect sister Saudi Arabia, even if it is driven by his country’s security calculations; Which are threatened by the Houthi groups through the Suez Canal, and more important considerations, in terms of Iran’s support for Islamic groups that could disturb the peace of the Egyptian interior, and Egypt’s endeavor to send a warning message to Iran regarding stopping or preventing support for any activity of this kind, and Egypt’s keenness not to take over the forces supporting Islamic movements; Such as: Türkiye; On arresting the trigger of a shooting threat, all these elements and more; Its effects will not be contrary to the goals of Egypt any more than they are contrary to the goals of Saudi Arabia itself.
naturally ; We do not like to harm innocent people wherever they are.
We see: It is very unfair to disturb a safe country.
Our purpose in stating “Egypt’s oversight” is not to deprive Saudi Arabia of its stability. If we want to clarify our purpose; We discussed some of the questions that occupy our minds when we look at the justification for Egypt’s military intervention “that it is defensive, not offensive” in the land of Yemen. We pointed out the role of the Mecca Pact, and the question about the nature of its “defense,” the effects of which have not yet appeared.
As we imagine the scenes of the opening of the “Egypt Octagon,” which we previously mentioned coincided with the opening of the Turkish Pentagon, “in an Egyptian response to the presence of a single power in the region, which is Turkey.” We can understand an image of “Brotherhood deception,” and here we wonder: Did Erdogan succeed in luring Sisi to the Saudi stadium?
This question; It is not isolated from another; About the nature of the relationship between Egypt’s alliance with Saudi Arabia on the one hand, and its joining the Mecca Pact, which to this moment is still sending signals of fear about its consequences.
We repeat the scene of events; We cannot ignore the “political relaxation” that such a step will cause, after some machinations on the part of the forces supporting the various Islamic movements. This relaxation; It will not be in the land of Egypt alone, but with Saudi Arabia and others as well.
In the land of governance and the space of combat that we understand; Political viscosity means: a military loophole.
Leave this complexity, and simply look at the state of Egyptian military action on Saudi soil, regardless of its level, whether it is: intelligence, advisory, logistical, armament, or the presence of forces on the ground. You will not bear much trouble while seeing the strangeness of the spectacle of staring at the limits of these forces’ dealings with forces, committees, bodies... etc. of the Mecca Pact - if not. Be with others - who will submit to whose command?
This is if we assume that coordination between these forces will take the form of a hierarchy, but the problem will seem more complex when there is no coordination between these forces. But despite this and that, the Egyptian forces and their mechanism of action remain exposed to Turkey and those with it. Something that was definitely not taken into account.
We will not prolong any longer; Before we end by referring to the fate of the Egyptian role in Lebanon; In which it sought mediation while trying to control the conflict with Iran, it has become certain that it will escalate with this step, in the form in which Iran will respond to directing factors of anxiety towards the Egyptian interior, even from outside it, which from now on will be like a new hand held by Iran to pressure it and others, especially if Egypt’s mission expands towards the Gulf states that Iran targets.
A wise man's mistake is worth a thousand, so the saying goes. While understanding the need of any country for its stability; It was not useful to rush after emotions, nor to wrap them in the context of helping the brothers, or talking about the presidency.
Written by
د . راشد الشاشاني
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