• If I cannot contain the fire in my garden; I have to make room for him to expand into the neighborhood. We described him as “hasty” at his best. The Iraqi government's decision changed; After he threatened to deal with any weapon outside the framework of the “state” in accordance with the Terrorism Law, to extend the deadline for the last day, before this language of cruelty changed to “soft” after being trimmed with terms such as: “freeze, etc..” We had referred to leaks; It was reported: by implicit agreement between the prime minister and the factions; About withdrawing the factions’ agreement not to target American interests in exchange for this postponement. This new reality, which contradicts the “direction of travel” on the American highway towards project completion; They call into question: why the United States accepted the “flattening” of the issue of withdrawing the factions’ weapons; She knows well; These factions only intend to “pull the rug” of the United States’ standing until the Trump era ends in the relatively long term, and until his path with Iran is revealed in the near future. This astonishment; What is further complicated by the statements of escalation with Iran issued by Trump, which is trying to reduce its weight by “forced landing” whenever Trump indicates the imminent end of the war, motivated by the elections and the rise in prices, this game is like a counter-ambush by Iran. Which wanted to miss Trump's opportunity to entrap President Pezeshkian after his statements in the United States, which sparked internal attacks against him; Considering that it contributed to reducing oil prices; Which means easing Trump’s burdens, when Trump wanted to pass the idea of “hawks and doves” into the Iranian regime; Trying to find a coup loophole in it, Iran responded by missing the opportunity to control its military calculations by its army. And direct a sudden military strike at the time. Trump's statements; It is not separated from the reality on the ground, which prompts military reinforcements; The last of which was a third aircraft carrier, coinciding with the withdrawal - which was not postponed - of American forces from Iraq. How can this be understood? The answer is the result of the interaction between several elements, the first of which is: the anxiety of the factions that did not surrender their weapons towards those that did; As a symbolic handover of light weapons, not to mention fears of a possible agreement between the government and these factions - with American coordination, of course - for a later role; What if the factions loyal to Iran surrendered their weapons? Second: The presence of the Peshmerga forces that are affiliated with the Kurdistan region outside of these arms inventory calculations, and raising fears about their status. It has not been confirmed that the factions loyal to Iran were the ones who raised this issue, but this concern may extend to others, especially with the Iraqi president’s defense of the constitutionality of its formation, and its failure to merge with the central army. As Washington did in Syria, although the two scenes were different. Third: American awareness of the dimensions of this “nerve-burning” policy, and how to manage the conflict from abroad without indulging in costly and annoying details, meaning: its vision of the new form in the conflict with Iran; It starts from playing in the spheres of influence; At the same time, you are seeking a quick attack, and the goal is “whichever comes first.” Accordingly; The excess American force does not go beyond the task of controlling the pace of the conflict that Washington is anticipating within the “enemy” territory as long as there is Iranian influence in the territory of Iraq. And dangerous for her at the same time; By including separatist Kurdish forces. What is more important than this: is the Turkish caution regarding the “gradual” withdrawal from the Zulaykan base, which anticipates an American danger from playing with the power of the Kurds, which may escape with the internal Iraqi scene. Ending up undermining what Ankara sought to control, and this will inevitably extend to Syria. Which will redraw a map within it in a way that keeps pace with the course of events